Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.161077 0.181559 0.203066 0.227281 0.253729 0.281685 0.313413
2025-03-09 0.132383 0.159806 0.190125 0.225946 0.266918 0.312124 0.365572
2025-03-16 0.111102 0.142576 0.178987 0.223824 0.277132 0.338061 0.412513
2025-03-23 0.098033 0.132856 0.174781 0.228285 0.294014 0.371371 0.468481
2025-03-30 0.085444 0.122009 0.167726 0.228038 0.304382 0.396630 0.515238
2025-04-06 0.075062 0.112642 0.161326 0.227555 0.313696 0.420271 0.560232
2025-04-13 0.066422 0.104533 0.155594 0.227069 0.322386 0.442865 0.604120
2025-04-20 0.059973 0.098677 0.152176 0.229040 0.333873 0.468929 0.652746
2025-04-27 0.055793 0.095573 0.152117 0.235251 0.350885 0.502331 0.711438
2025-05-04 0.050801 0.090711 0.149083 0.236922 0.361515 0.527374 0.759627
2025-05-11 0.046944 0.087167 0.147585 0.240472 0.374599 0.555796 0.812750
2025-05-18 0.044525 0.085634 0.148865 0.247928 0.393219 0.592013 0.876999
2025-05-25 0.039726 0.079903 0.143579 0.245714 0.398420 0.610644 0.918927
2025-06-01 0.035965 0.075518 0.140019 0.245790 0.406783 0.633762 0.967483
2025-06-08 0.032307 0.070909 0.135714 0.244371 0.412727 0.653475 1.011659
2025-06-15 0.030306 0.069067 0.135752 0.249647 0.428725 0.687796 1.076970
2025-06-22 0.027561 0.065529 0.132654 0.249664 0.436612 0.710494 1.126215
2025-06-29 0.025034 0.062117 0.129485 0.249305 0.443761 0.732142 1.174279
2025-07-06 0.022751 0.058919 0.126423 0.248875 0.450649 0.753427 1.222123
2025-07-13 0.021057 0.056735 0.124993 0.251047 0.461614 0.780930 1.279467
2025-07-20 0.020112 0.056038 0.126215 0.257755 0.479987 0.819915 1.354356
2025-07-27 0.018619 0.053963 0.124694 0.259569 0.490399 0.846969 1.412035
2025-08-03 0.017487 0.052569 0.124355 0.263395 0.504150 0.879355 1.478179